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Probability investing: an epistemology for markets. Frameworks, valuation, and calibration.

Philosophy 1 min read

Aseity Investing vs. Value, Momentum, and Consensus

Value borrows its warrant from a point estimate. Momentum borrows it from the crowd. Consensus borrows it from the room. Contrarianism borrows it from the crowd and adds a minus sign. Aseity investing refuses to borrow at all.

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Education 1 min read

Key Financial Ratios for Analyzing Tech Stocks

Most articles on this topic hand you a checklist. A ratio is not a score. It is a piece of evidence, and evidence only means something relative to a base rate and a prior.

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